اخبار فلسطين – وطن نيوز
فلسطين اليوم – اخبار فلسطين اليوم
W6nnews.com ==== وطن === تاريخ النشر – 2026-02-23 18:01:00
Bethlehem /PNN/In light of the rapid political and security transformations taking place in the Gaza Strip, the Palestinian Opinion Polling Center (PCPO) conducted a field study on a representative sample of residents of the West Bank and Gaza Strip, prepared by Dr. Nabil Kokali, with the aim of measuring public opinion trends towards issues of future management of the sector, the international role, the chances of establishing a Palestinian state, and the level of confidence in the political and economic initiatives proposed. Kokali pointed out that the data shows a noticeable gap of confidence towards some international initiatives, especially those linked to the previous US administration, in addition to a clear sensitivity towards linking investment and reconstruction files to political or security conditions. At the same time, he stressed that the presence of a degree of optimism among about two-thirds of respondents about the future of Gaza reflects the continued element of hope in the Palestinian collective consciousness, despite the complexities of the stage. The president and founder of the Palestinian Center for Opinion Polling, Dr., said: Nabil Kokali said that the Palestinians “are not looking for new slogans, but rather for a realistic equation that ends uncertainty,” at a time when the results of a recent poll show a state of cautious pragmatism in public opinion regarding the future of the Gaza Strip, the international role, and potential management arrangements for the Strip. Kokali said that the results of the poll reflect cautious pragmatism in Palestinian public opinion, as there does not appear to be a decisive unilateral trend, but rather a balanced critical assessment of the various scenarios, adding: “The data reveal that the Palestinians have become more realistic and less impulsive in their positions.” Political confidence is no longer granted automatically, whether to local or international parties, but rather is built on the basis of performance and tangible results. The public today is looking for a balancing equation that combines political stability and improvement in living conditions, while maintaining national constants.” According to Kokali, the results indicate that any future framework for Gaza will not gain wider acceptance unless it balances political reform, economic recovery, and rebuilding public confidence. Main results The results indicate that the majority of Palestinians are following the developments in the Gaza Strip with high interest, while the results indicate that the majority of Palestinians are following developments in the Gaza Strip with high interest. Two-thirds of them were cautiously optimistic about the future of the sector, despite the political, security and economic challenges. The results also showed broad support for the idea of forming an independent civil administration committee for Gaza, along with a critical assessment of local roles and a warning about the effectiveness of some international initiatives. Despite the decline in confidence in the initiatives associated with the previous US administration, as 53% expressed their lack of confidence in them, 59% see the possibility of international participation contributing to achieving stability, which reflects conditional support for a more effective and neutral international role. On the other hand, more than half of the public lacks sufficient knowledge of the role of the World Peace Council, with continuing doubts about the seriousness of long-term political paths. Level of following developments in Gaza The results showed that about 70% of Palestinians follow developments in the Gaza Strip to a great or moderate degree, with 39.1% to a great degree and 30.7% to a moderate degree, compared to 16.1% who follow them to a limited degree and 14.1% who do not follow them. These indicators reflect a high level of public interest, confirming that what is happening in Gaza is seen as a national issue affecting the Palestinian political and social scene. The main source of information about what is happening in Gaza: Social media topped the sources of obtaining information about developments in Gaza at a rate of 53.7%, with a clear difference from the rest of the sources. Multiple or other sources came in second place with 16.8%, followed by Arab media with 15.1%. On the other hand, 6.7% relied only on official sources and 5.2% on international media, while 2.5% reported that they did not read or had no opinion. The results reflect the dominance of the digital space in shaping public awareness and the speed of the circulation of information, in contrast to the decline in reliance on official sources and traditional media, which raises questions about the accuracy of information and the level of verification. Level of knowledge of the role of the World Peace Council in Gaza issues. Only 16.6% reported that they have good knowledge of the role of the World Peace Council, compared to 28.0% who have limited knowledge and 26.5% who have heard about it without detailed knowledge, while 28.5% confirmed that they do not know it at all. The results show that about 55% of the sample either do not know the Council or have superficial knowledge of it, which reflects a clear knowledge gap and highlights the need to strengthen communication and introduce its roles in light of the high popular interest in developments in Gaza. Estimating the possibility of an international role contributing to addressing the conditions of Gaza in the future. The results showed a division in assessing the possibility of an international role contributing to addressing the conditions of Gaza in the future, as 21.8% believed that it could contribute to a large degree and 23.0% to a moderate degree, compared to 23.0% believed that the contribution would be limited and 28.2% believed that it would not contribute at all, while the percentage of those who had no opinion was 4.0%. Thus, about 45% tend to have a potential role, compared to 51% who see the contribution as limited or non-existent, which reflects a state of caution and doubt towards the effectiveness of international interventions. The position on the formation of a civil administration committee for Gaza headed by an independent Palestinian figure. The results showed widespread support for the idea of forming a civil administration committee for Gaza headed by an independent Palestinian figure, as 60.4% expressed their direct support, and 19.6% supported the idea to some extent, compared to 8.9% opposed it and 8.2% categorically rejected it, while the percentage of those who had no opinion was 3.0%. This reflects a positive trend towards searching for an independent civil administration formula and a consensual framework far from traditional political polarization. The most important factor for the success of any future civil administration committee in Gaza: 44.3% of respondents believed that the success of any civil administration committee requires the availability of all factors combined, including internal Palestinian consensus, international and regional support, reconstruction, and security arrangements. When looking at the factors separately, 22.5% considered internal consensus to be the most important factor, followed by reconstruction and improving living conditions at 19.6%, then international support at 7.7%, and security arrangements at 2.7%, while the percentage of those who had no opinion reached 3.2%. The results reflect a general awareness of the necessity of an integrated approach with a clear priority for national consensus and improving daily life. The international body most appropriate to participate in supporting or managing the situation in Gaza in the future. The public’s preferences varied regarding the international body most appropriate to support or manage the situation in Gaza, as the Arab countries topped with 27.2%, followed by the United Nations with 20.8%, then the European Union with 15.8%, while only 8.2% chose the United States. On the other hand, 25.5% confirmed that they do not support any international participation, and the percentage of those who had no opinion was 2.5%, which reflects a relative tendency towards Arab or multilateral frameworks and reservations towards major international powers. Estimating the contribution of international participation in achieving stability in Gaza: 31.7% believed that international participation may contribute to a great extent to achieving stability in Gaza, and 27.0% to a moderate degree, compared to 18.3% who believe that the contribution will be limited. 21.5% believe that he will not contribute at all, while the percentage of those who have no opinion was 1.5%. This reflects conditional support for international participation linked to the extent of its effectiveness and ability to bring about tangible change. Evaluation of the position of the Donald Trump administration towards what is happening in Gaza: 54.0% of respondents considered that the position of the Donald Trump administration was directly supportive of Israel, and 14.1% considered that it was closer to Israel, which means that about 68% see its position as supportive of Israel to varying degrees. On the other hand, 4.7% believed that it was supportive of Palestine and 2.2% believed that it was closer to Palestine, while 12.1% described the position as balanced, and about 12-13% indicated that it was unclear, which reflects a general perception of the lack of neutrality of the previous American administration and the impact of this on the level of popular confidence in any future American role. Evaluating the nature of Israel’s handling of the situation in Gaza currently. The results showed that 48.8% of respondents view Israel’s handling of the situation in Gaza as complex. It combines security, political and military factors, while 24.5% considered the military nature to be dominant, 10.9% described it as security, and 9.7% as political, while the percentage of those who had no opinion was 6.2%. The results reflect a general awareness of the complexity of the scene and the intersection of its dimensions. Estimating the extent of Israel’s interest in a long-term political solution to Gaza: A clear majority of respondents reported that Israel is not interested in a long-term political solution to Gaza, with 60.4% seeing that it is not interested in a sustainable solution and 20.5% that it is concerned to a limited degree, compared to only 16.1% who believe that it is concerned to a great extent, while the percentage of those who have no opinion was 3.0%. This reflects a high level of doubt and a clear confidence gap in the possibility of achieving a sustainable political path. Evaluation of the role of the Palestinian Authority in dealing with the current developments in Gaza. The majority of respondents described the role of the Palestinian Authority in dealing with developments in Gaza as weak or limited, as 56.7% considered it weak and 21.5% limited, compared to 18.3% who saw it as effective, while the percentage of those who had no opinion was 3.5%. This reflects a state of relative dissatisfaction and a clear gap between popular expectations and the level of perceived performance. Evaluating the role of the Hamas movement in managing the situation in Gaza during the current stage. The results showed that 56.2% of respondents evaluated the performance of the Hamas movement in managing the situation in Gaza as ineffective, and 22.0% as having limited capabilities, compared to 15.1% who described it as effective, while the percentage of those who had no opinion reached 6.7%, which indicates a general critical assessment in light of the complex challenges facing it. The sector. The most likely scenario during the coming period in Gaza: 35.6% of respondents expected a temporary calm as the most likely scenario, while 21.3% saw the possibility of a change in the management style, and 19.1% saw a continuation of the status quo, which is the same percentage that expected a new escalation, while the percentage of those who had no opinion reached 5.0%. The results reflect a tendency towards transitional or temporary scenarios in light of cautious realism. The general outlook for the future of Gaza in the coming years. The results showed that the general outlook for the future of Gaza tends to be relatively optimistic, with 42.3% expressing their optimism and 24.8% expressing their optimism to some extent, which means that about 67% hold a positive vision to varying degrees. On the other hand, 16.1% expressed their pessimism and 14.4% expressed extreme pessimism, while the percentage of those who had no opinion was 2.5%, which reflects a state of cautious optimism despite the existing challenges. The impact of forming a committee to administer Gaza on the Palestinian national project. The results showed a clear division in public opinion regarding the impact of forming a committee to administer Gaza on the future of the Palestinian national project. 32.9% believed that it might pave the way for the establishment of a Palestinian state in the future, which is the same percentage that considered that it did not represent any of the two options presented, while 29.5% believed that it might constitute a step towards ending the opportunity for the establishment of an independent Palestinian state, and the percentage of those who had no opinion was 4.7%. The results reflect a state of hesitation and division regarding the long-term national dimensions of the proposal. Evaluating the impact of forming a committee to administer Gaza on the chances of establishing a Palestinian state in the future: 37.1% believed that forming a committee to administer Gaza may have a positive impact on the chances of establishing a Palestinian state, and 35.6% believed that its impact was neutral or unclear, compared to 23.5% who believed that its impact would be negative, while the percentage of those who had no opinion was 3.7%. The results indicate a moderate division that leans relatively towards a positive or neutral view. Evaluating the idea of awarding the current US president the Nobel Peace Prize based on his role in Gaza. The majority of respondents expressed their lack of support for the idea of awarding the current US president the Nobel Peace Prize based on his role in Gaza, as 52.6% took a negative position and 26.1% took a neutral position, compared to 16.4% who supported the idea, while the percentage of those who had no opinion reached 4.9%, which reflects a clear gap between the discourse and The results showed that 44.6% believed that the proposals related to Kushner served an Israeli political agenda, 18.8% considered them to be of an economic nature without political solutions, and 14.6% aimed to improve the humanitarian situation, while 20.2% indicated that they did not know their nature, and 1.7% chose another answer, which reflects the predominance of a political reading of these initiatives. Feasibility of projects Economic projects in Gaza in isolation from the political solution: 34.5% believed that economic projects in Gaza could succeed in isolation from a comprehensive political path, and 32.4% believed that they might succeed to some extent, compared to 28.6% who believed that they would not succeed without a political solution, while the percentage of those who had no opinion was 4.5%. The results reflect a relatively pragmatic tendency that views the economic path as a tool to improve living conditions without considering it as an alternative to the political solution. The level of confidence in the international initiatives associated with the previous American administration towards Gaza. The poll showed that 53.0% do not trust the international initiatives associated with the previous American administration, compared to 26.8% who expressed somewhat confidence and 15.0% great confidence, while the percentage of those who had no opinion reached 5.2%, which reflects a clear confidence gap related to the extent of the neutrality and effectiveness of these. Initiatives and their results on the ground. The position on linking investment and reconstruction in Gaza to political or security conditions. Public opinion was divided regarding linking investment and reconstruction in Gaza to political or security conditions. 38.4% supported this linkage to varying degrees, compared to 34.5% who opposed it, while 21.3% adopted a neutral position, and the percentage of those who had no opinion was 5.9%. The results reflect a relative convergence between the camps of support and opposition and the absence of a decisive consensus. The impact of linking investment in Gaza to the resistance weapons file on stability and development. A relative majority saw that linking investment to the resistance weapons file may have a negative impact on stability and development, at 34.8%, compared to 18.8% who considered its impact positive, and 21.6% who said it had no effect, while 18.5% expressed their uncertainty, and the percentage of those who had no opinion was 6.3%, which reflects concerns. From the politicization of the investment file and the complexity of development paths. Demographic characteristics of the study sample: The study was based on a sample consisting of 404 people, with a complete geographical balance between the West Bank and the Gaza Strip (50% for each, with 202 respondents in each region), and acceptable representation in terms of gender (55.4% males and 44.3% females). The age group of 30-44 years topped the sample with a percentage of 45.3%, followed by the group of 45-59 years with a percentage of 24.3%, then 18-29 years with a percentage of 18.1%, and 60 years and over with a percentage of 12.4%. In terms of educational level, 54.5% reported that their education was secondary or less, compared to 39.9% who held a diploma or bachelor’s degree, and 5.7% had postgraduate studies, which reflects age and educational diversity and geographical balance that enhance the reliability and generalizability of the results. Data collection methodology: The survey relied on random dialing (RDD), and interviews were conducted via the electronic (CATI) system to ensure accuracy and organization. The response rate was 67%, which is a relatively high rate in telephone studies, while the statistical margin of error was ±4.8% at a 95% confidence level, giving the results a high degree of reliability and statistical accuracy.
